Bitcoin price experienced a significant drop yesterday after breaking the $64,000 support level. The price is now in a key area that could determine the mid-term fate of the crypto market.
Technical Analysis
By TradingRage
The daily chart
On the daily chart, the price has been falling since a double pattern was created above the $68,000 resistance level. The $64,000 level has also been broken to the downside and the cryptocurrency is testing the 200-day moving average.
If it also fails to hold the price, the market is likely to go through a much deeper decline towards $52,000. With the RSI also showing values below 50%, momentum points to a possible continuation of the bearish move.
Source: TradingView The 4-hour chart
Looking at the 4-hour chart, things are looking a bit more bullish for Bitcoin. The price has rallied from the $60,000 support level with a long wick and is currently trading between $64,000 and $60,000.
Meanwhile, a retest of the $60,000 support zone is highly likely as both momentum and market structure hint at this scenario. Whether the $60,000 level holds or breaks will likely determine the price trend in the coming months.
Source: TradingView On-Chain Analysis
By TradingRage
Short-term holder of Bitcoin SOPR
As Bitcoin again falls short of a new record high, analyzing investor behavior can provide clues to better predictions of future price action.
This chart shows the short-term holder SOPR, an on-chain metric that measures the ratio of gains/losses realized by short-term Bitcoin holders. Values above one show profit realization, while values below 1 indicate loss realization.
As the chart shows, the STH SOPR metric has recently recovered above 1 as the market has recovered from the $55,000 level.
However, after the recent drop, the STH SOPR is back down towards one, as short-term holders are only making marginal profits. If this trend continues, the market may be overwhelmed by oversupply as holders look to offload their coins with minimal losses.
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